Our response to the Panel’s four non-exclusive options
| Option 1: Training the Afghan security forces and a phased withdrawal of troops |
Training Afghan security forces: When it comes to providing security to Kandahar
Province on the longer term, it is essential to train, support and develop the Afghan
security forces. This should be a core task for the Canadian military. Moreover, the
Afghan military currently has a structural shortage of uniforms, ammunition and other
essential equipment. They also do not receive their salaries on time, obviously a critical issue in
effective military development. As they do for the Police in Kandahar, Canadian military
mentors should distribute Afghan troops’ salaries.
Phased withdrawal: It is very doubtful the phased withdrawal of Canadian troops can
start as early as February 2009 without this being tantamount to an abandonment of
the Karzai Government and the people of Kandahar Province. Given that currently the
security situation is worsening and that development efforts are at a standstill, a
longer commitment of Canadian forces is critical, with sufficient troop numbers that allow both
targeted counter-insurgency operations and a military role in humanitarian and development
aid.
| Option 2: Focusing on development and governance in Kandahar |
No other (inter)national troops available: Despite the fact that more international
and Afghan troops are needed in Kandahar Province, these are currently not available.
In neighbouring Uruzgan Province the Netherlands have just been asked to extend
their mission as other countries are not available to replace the Dutch troops after the
initial mission end date of August 2008. The situation in Kandahar will not be much different
as many NATO and non-NATO countries are showing very little political will to assist ISAF in the
troublesome southern parts of the country. That means that Canada cannot focus on a purely
non-military role in Kandahar in the coming years. However, Canada should further shift its
military policy towards aid and short-term development efforts focusing more on “Quick Impact
Projects”: targeting basic needs and involving the local community in project design and
implementation.
The military should deliver aid: Current available food supplies are not getting
through to the people in need. Aside from the deteriorating security situation, there
are simply not enough local and international aid organisations in Kandahar to
implement Canadian development programmes. This means that in Kandahar the
military is the only actor with the capacity to secure the coordination and delivery of food aid
and other forms of humanitarian assistance.
In general, the Canadian Government should
make sure there is a dramatic increase in funding for humanitarian aid and development
projects.
| Option 3: Shift the focus of the Canadian mission to another region of Afghanistan |

Re-focusing the Canadian mission in Afghanistan towards a different region of the
country would further weaken NATO-ISAF’s stabilisation mission. ISAF is already
suffering from national caveats of many troop contributing countries, which prevents
proper allocation and geographical distribution of ISAF-troops towards the most
problematic areas. As the birthplace of the Taliban, Kandahar is a crucial province when it
comes to stability and security. If Kandahar City falls to the Taliban, the insurgency will again
have secured a stable and totemic base from which to threaten Kabul and the rest of the
country.
| Option 4: Withdrawal of Canadian military forces after February 2009s |

Since 2001, Canada has committed itself to Afghanistan. It has promised the Afghan
Government support in defeating the Taliban insurgency and creating better living
conditions for the people. That commitment is far from being fulfilled as the Afghan
Government and the people currently need more help now than ever. The Afghan road
to peace and prosperity is rockier than ever before. In addition, Canada’s presence in
Afghanistan is necessary to ensure that Al Qaeda and related extremist elements do not again
have a geo-political base for their global terrorist actions.
Consequently, the withdrawal of
Canadian troops should be linked to specific measures of success and not to an arbitrary
calendar date determined by a domestic political agenda. So far, Canada and its
international partners already have difficulties convincing the Afghans that they are in
Afghanistan to see their task through to the end.
Building on elements of these four options, The Senlis Council recommends the Panel to
consider an alternative option:
| New Panel Option: Short-term security and aid; long-term commitment |

As soon as possible, Canada sets clear objectives and measures of success for its
security, development and reconstruction tasks in Kandahar. The focus within
development efforts will further shift to immediate impact humanitarian aid with the
military being the key delivery actor until enough international and Afghan aid
organisations are on the ground and able to take over these tasks. Humanitarian aid delivery
should also be made subject to clear measures of success. Additional funding should be made
available for reconstruction and development efforts. Canada should commit to remaining in
Kandahar after 2009 and make its future withdrawal from Kandahar subject to a thorough
assessment of progress made based on the established measures of success.