Press Conferences / Afghanistan - Decision Point 2008
9.45 am – Wednesday 6th February 2008
Frontline Club,
13 Norfolk Place,
London W2 1QJ


Press release: Taliban entrenched in southern Afghanistan and running parallel governments

LONDON – With the Taliban entrenched in the south and running parallel governments in several districts, the Afghan state has reached a decision point, The Senlis Council said on Wednesday. According to the Council’s latest research, NATO’s failure to address Afghanistan’s security situation has made aspirations to hold Presidential elections in 2009 wholly unrealistic.


“The international community’s significant investment in President Karzai and his government will prove barren if it does not move quickly to stabilise the south and Karzai’s political support base,” said The Senlis Council’s President and Lead Field Researcher, Norine MacDonald QC. “If the current security situation in Afghanistan does not improve dramatically, it will be impossible to hold the next presidential election, which would be tantamount to conceding control of Southern Afghanistan to the Taliban.”
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Publication: Afghanistan - Decision Point 2008


Report
January 2008

2008 is a pivotal year in the development of the Afghan state: the situation has reached a classic decision point. The Taliban are entrenched in the South, running parallel governments in several districts and controlling the majority of secondary roads. The extent of the challenges facing the country was brought into sharp focus by the bombing of the Serena Hotel in Kabul on 14 January. Should this event prove part of a consolidated drive by militants to engage in asymmetric attacks upon high profile, 'soft' Western civilian targets in the capital, then the insurgency will have entered a new and dangerous phase.


Full report in English (2,8 Mb, PDF)